Sha Tin · 2021-11-21
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM Wire to wire B 2.03.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING STAR Closed strongly V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR B B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 1 | 9.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 48.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PANFIELD TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-21 was Group 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. RELIABLE TEAM, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with KA YING STAR second and GLORIOUS DRAGON third. The winner led throughout. The 1.9 favourite GLORIOUS DRAGON finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 25.0% | 4.00 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | COLUMBUS COUNTY | 22.3% | 4.48 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | PANFIELD | 18.6% | 5.39 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 17.7% | 5.66 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | RELIABLE TEAM | 8.4% | 11.89 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 4.3% | 23.17 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 3.7% | 26.76 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 173
PLACE
2 17
4 11
7 33
QUINELLA
2,7 371.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 23
2,7 95
4,7 46.5
FORECAST
7,2 1,044
TIERCE
7,2,4 2,525
TRIO
2,4,7 200
FIRST 4
2,3,4,7 272
QUARTET
7,2,4,3 11,193
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 127
A1 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 18.5
1/7 237.5