Sha Tin · 2021-11-21
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly 1.21.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | PARTERRE B- K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 6.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR Closed strongly B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 42.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GORYTUS XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 1 | 45.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly SR M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 14 | 104.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 3 | 7.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 5 | 80.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Led early B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 10 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON B1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 78.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2021-11-21 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CAPTAIN WIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with PARTERRE second and HORSESAIN BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite COPARTNER AMBITION finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 18.6% | 5.39 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 16.3% | 6.15 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 14.4% | 6.95 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 11.5% | 8.68 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | PARTERRE | 7.2% | 13.96 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 6.0% | 16.69 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 5.7% | 17.66 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 4.3% | 23.35 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | GORYTUS | 4.2% | 23.53 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 4.2% | 23.94 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR | 2.5% | 39.48 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 2.0% | 49.96 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON | 1.9% | 53.43 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 1.3% | 74.46 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 156
PLACE
6 46
10 18.5
11 22
QUINELLA
6,11 600.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 114.5
6,11 212
10,11 82.5
FORECAST
6,11 988
TIERCE
6,11,10 7,506
TRIO
6,10,11 1,237
FIRST 4
4,6,10,11 7,990
QUARTET
6,11,10,4 163,460
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,8/6,10,11 8,813
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/6 315.5
4/11 37