跑馬地 · 2021-12-08 · 20:16
第 4場
2021-12-08跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由T Marquand策騎、D A Hayes訓練的AWESOME TREASURE勝出，贏出1/2。FABULOUS EIGHT獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT SEVEN獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AWESOME TREASURE 0.57.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） T Marquand · D A Hayes | T Marquand | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 7 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CHARMING STEED TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 1 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | FARIBAULT XB1 C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | TRUST ME B/H H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 10 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | WILD WEST WING J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | TELECOM ROCKET B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 2 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | MERIDIAN GENIUS R Moore · A T Millard | R Moore | A T Millard | 3 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT M Barzalona · K L Man | M Barzalona | K L Man | 12 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB Y Kawada · D J Hall | Y Kawada | D J Hall | 5 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING HIGH H/TT D Lane · W Y So | D Lane | W Y So | 9 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 21.8% | 4.58 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | TELECOM ROCKET | 11.4% | 8.81 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | AWESOME TREASURE | 11.1% | 9.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 10.9% | 9.14 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | CHARMING STEED | 9.8% | 10.17 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 7.0% | 14.26 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | FARIBAULT | 6.7% | 14.83 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 6.0% | 16.72 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | TRUST ME | 4.5% | 22.46 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 4.5% | 22.47 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | WILD WEST WING | 3.8% | 26.21 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.5% | 40.00 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 35
PLACE
2 19
8 17.5
11 17.5
QUINELLA
2,8 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 44
2,11 61.5
8,11 44
FORECAST
8,2 172
TIERCE
8,2,11 810
TRIO
2,8,11 219
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 138
QUARTET
8,2,11,9 2,538
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
1/2 119.5
1/8 456.5