跑馬地 · 2021-12-08 · 21:46
第 7場
2021-12-08跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由J McDonald策騎、C Fownes訓練的INVINCIBLE MISSILE勝出，贏出SH。AMAZING ONE PLUS獲得亞軍；RED MAJESTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.6倍大熱門MEANINGFUL STAR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT 1.39.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 5 | 9.4 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS 後段發力 P/XB/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 7.4 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | RED MAJESTY 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN 後段發力 B/TT D Lane · A T Millard | D Lane | A T Millard | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | THE ANOMALY C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | NOTHING NEW 後段發力 H/XB/P1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | MEANINGFUL STAR B M Barzalona · K W Lui | M Barzalona | K W Lui | 1 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | MERCURIAL 早段領放 H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 6 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | WEALTHY DELIGHT T Marquand · J Size | T Marquand | J Size | 11 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | PRESENCE 後段發力 H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 10 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK R Moore · P F Yiu | R Moore | P F Yiu | 7 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT Y Kawada · C S Shum | Y Kawada | C S Shum | 9 | 8.8 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RED MAJESTY | 22.5% | 4.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 14.4% | 6.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | NOTHING NEW | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 8 | THE ANOMALY | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 8.5% | 11.78 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | PRESENCE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN | 6.1% | 16.45 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 4.2% | 23.77 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 4.0% | 25.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | MERCURIAL | 3.7% | 26.98 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | GOLDEN LINK | 2.6% | 37.82 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 94
PLACE
1 24.5
7 28
12 21
QUINELLA
1,7 312
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 105
1,12 92
7,12 124.5
FORECAST
7,1 807
TIERCE
7,1,12 4,623
TRIO
1,7,12 719
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 2,142
QUARTET
7,1,12,6 56,660
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/1,7,12 91,682
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 35.5
6TH DOUBLE
6/1 189
6/7 1,021
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,10/2,6,7/1,7,12 5,087,135
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,10/2,6,7/Any Combination 20,687