Happy Valley · 2021-12-08 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT 1.39.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 5 | 9.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 7.4 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT D Lane · A T Millard | D Lane | A T Millard | 12 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | THE ANOMALY C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NOTHING NEW Closed strongly H/XB/P1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 8 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR B M Barzalona · K W Lui | M Barzalona | K W Lui | 1 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MERCURIAL Led early H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 6 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT T Marquand · J Size | T Marquand | J Size | 11 | 54.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | PRESENCE Closed strongly H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 10 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK R Moore · P F Yiu | R Moore | P F Yiu | 7 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT Y Kawada · C S Shum | Y Kawada | C S Shum | 9 | 8.8 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INVINCIBLE MISSILE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with AMAZING ONE PLUS second and RED MAJESTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.6 favourite MEANINGFUL STAR finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 22.5% | 4.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 14.4% | 6.96 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 11.1% | 9.02 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | THE ANOMALY | 9.6% | 10.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 8.5% | 11.78 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | PRESENCE | 7.2% | 13.91 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 6.1% | 16.45 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 4.2% | 23.77 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 4.0% | 25.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | MERCURIAL | 3.7% | 26.98 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 2.6% | 37.82 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 94
PLACE
1 24.5
7 28
12 21
QUINELLA
1,7 312
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 105
1,12 92
7,12 124.5
FORECAST
7,1 807
TIERCE
7,1,12 4,623
TRIO
1,7,12 719
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 2,142
QUARTET
7,1,12,6 56,660
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/1,7,12 91,682
3 PICK 1
A1 35.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/1 189
6/7 1,021
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,10/2,6,7/1,7,12 5,087,135
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,10/2,6,7/Any Combination 20,687