Happy Valley · 2021-12-08 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly 1.39.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 12 | 20.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly H-/B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 5.2 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly R Moore · D A Hayes | R Moore | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT D Lane · J Size | D Lane | J Size | 10 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VILLA FIONN B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 8 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING CITY CP-/SR/TT1 Y Kawada · D J Whyte | Y Kawada | D J Whyte | 7 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SACRED IBIS Closed strongly XB J McDonald · A T Millard | J McDonald | A T Millard | 6 | 7.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT Led early H-/TT M Barzalona · C Fownes | M Barzalona | C Fownes | 4 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS B1/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT T Marquand · Y S Tsui | T Marquand | Y S Tsui | 11 | 51.0 | 7-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIVA HUNTER, ridden by H Doyle and trained by K L Man, won by NOSE, with GLORIOUS LOVER second and AI ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite AI ONE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DR WINNING | 13.6% | 7.37 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 11.1% | 9.03 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 10.5% | 9.51 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | AI ONE | 10.0% | 10.01 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 7.8% | 12.85 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 5.8% | 17.28 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 5.4% | 18.59 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.3% | 18.88 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | WHISKEY NEAT | 5.3% | 18.95 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 3.7% | 27.36 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 2.9% | 34.19 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 209.5
PLACE
4 17.5
5 65
10 20.5
QUINELLA
5,10 637.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 174.5
4,10 58.5
5,10 216
FORECAST
5,10 1,724
TIERCE
5,10,4 9,626
TRIO
4,5,10 940
FIRST 4
4,5,9,10 1,130
QUARTET
5,10,4,9 47,957
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,11/4,5,10 27,910
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 22
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/5 1,018
8/10 63.5