Happy Valley · 2021-12-08 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLYING ACE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with XPONENTIAL second and SIGHT HERO third. The 4.7 favourite REGENCY STAR finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLYING ACE B1 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 8.8 | N |
| 2 | 2 | XPONENTIAL B/TT J McDonald · D J Whyte | J McDonald | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT HERO B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 5.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 23.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | SPARTAN MISSILE SR1 L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 9 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | REGENCY STAR A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 4.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | PRINCE OF BON BON H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 126.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 4.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | AURORA PEGASUS H/V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS TT1 D Lane · P F Yiu | D Lane | P F Yiu | 5 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 1 | 5.8 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | HIN YUEN BIS TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 16.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SIGHT HERO | 14.7% | 6.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | REGENCY STAR | 14.4% | 6.95 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 13.0% | 7.67 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 11.9% | 8.37 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAUTY CHEERS | 10.8% | 9.29 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | AURORA PEGASUS | 8.8% | 11.35 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | XPONENTIAL | 7.5% | 13.42 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 4.9% | 20.45 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | HIN YUEN BIS | 4.2% | 23.97 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING ACE | 3.8% | 26.12 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 3.7% | 27.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 2.3% | 42.58 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 88
PLACE
2 27.5
6 35.5
7 25
QUINELLA
2,6 573.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 191
2,7 87.5
6,7 132
FORECAST
6,2 1,108
TIERCE
6,2,7 6,069
TRIO
2,6,7 849
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 2,756
QUARTET
6,2,7,1 69,430
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 22
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 364.5
5/6 2,988.5