Happy Valley · 2021-12-08 · 23:03
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA Closed strongly TT 1.48.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 2 | 2.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 7 | 6.4 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB R Moore · D J Whyte | R Moore | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI Closed strongly TT D Lane · C Fownes | D Lane | C Fownes | 8 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 11 | 32.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 6 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUNNY STAR A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 12 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KILINDINI Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 65.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | THE ROCK T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-08 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FA FA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with BELUGA second and SAVVY NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA | 33.1% | 3.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 10.7% | 9.35 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 10.1% | 9.93 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | ZEBROWSKI | 10.0% | 9.96 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | KILINDINI | 9.2% | 10.86 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | BELUGA | 5.8% | 17.16 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 4.3% | 23.46 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 4.3% | 23.52 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | THE ROCK | 4.1% | 24.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 4.0% | 25.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 2.5% | 39.91 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 1.9% | 51.38 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 28
PLACE
1 26.5
10 23.5
12 13.5
QUINELLA
10,12 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 146
1,12 50.5
10,12 46.5
FORECAST
12,10 165
TIERCE
12,10,1 1,296
TRIO
1,10,12 266
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 299
QUARTET
12,10,1,4 4,725
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/1,10,12 72,887
8TH DOUBLE
11/10 439
11/12 666
SIX UP
2,8/5,10/2,6/1,7/1,11/10,12 19,052
TREBLE
7/11/10 3,810
7/11/12 8,429