沙田 · 2021-12-12 · 12:56
第 2場
2021-12-12沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的GOOD RUNNER勝出，贏出1-3/4。SUPER MISSION獲得亞軍；HK DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOOD RUNNER 後段發力 XB 1.22.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER MISSION 後段發力 H2/TT R Moore · P F Yiu | R Moore | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | HK DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | MARVEL DRAGON 後段發力 TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | MOONLUCK 後段發力 R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 13 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO 後段發力 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 65.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | EEVEE 後段發力 B1 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 14 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | LADY FIRST 後段發力 CP/H/XB/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | COMPULSORY B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 70.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ROMANTIC TROVE 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | A A AGILITY B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 211.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | MAN UP TT2 T Marquand · C H Yip | T Marquand | C H Yip | 1 | 40.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | ROYAL AGILITY 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 7 | 51.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | OUR CREED V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 197.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CASIMIRO L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FLYING VICTORY · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GOOD RUNNER | 34.8% | 2.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER MISSION | 12.2% | 8.20 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | LADY FIRST | 10.9% | 9.18 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | MARVEL DRAGON | 7.5% | 13.39 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | HK DRAGON | 6.9% | 14.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | ROMANTIC TROVE | 5.6% | 17.86 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | MOONLUCK | 5.4% | 18.47 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | EEVEE | 5.1% | 19.48 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | COMPULSORY | 3.2% | 31.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.1% | 32.69 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ROYAL AGILITY | 2.1% | 48.03 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | A A AGILITY | 1.4% | 73.48 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | MAN UP | 1.2% | 82.87 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | OUR CREED | 0.7% | 136.52 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 26.5
PLACE
4 15.5
6 14
8 36
QUINELLA
4,6 58
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 27.5
4,8 93
6,8 73
FORECAST
6,4 104
TIERCE
6,4,8 654
TRIO
4,6,8 174
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 206
QUARTET
6,4,8,1 2,624
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 51
1/6 180.5
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A2 —
A3 —