沙田 · 2021-12-12 · 17:18
第 9場
2021-12-12沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的LUCKY WITH YOU勝出，贏出1-1/4。GALLANT EXPRESS獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT STELLAR獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY WITH YOU 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 14 | GALLANT EXPRESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | CIRCUIT STELLAR TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 34.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT DADDY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | STAR BRITE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | PRIME MINISTER TT T Marquand · P F Yiu | T Marquand | P F Yiu | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | ELIGERE B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 12 | 108.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WAR WEAPON TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSION SR1 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 14 | 59.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | ALL IN MIND CP/H/XB/TT C Soumillon · W Y So | C Soumillon | W Y So | 8 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 10 | 109.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SMOKEY BEAR H/XB1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 104.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 13 | 248.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | SUPREME SUPREME M L Yeung · C H Yip | M L Yeung | C H Yip | 5 | 252.0 | 28 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WAR WEAPON | 24.4% | 4.10 | 8 |
| 2 | 13 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 21.8% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | GALLANT EXPRESS | 12.2% | 8.20 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 10.0% | 10.02 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | PRIME MINISTER | 6.3% | 15.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | ALL IN MIND | 6.1% | 16.48 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY MISSION | 4.3% | 23.37 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | ELIGERE | 3.7% | 26.94 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 3.4% | 29.32 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | STAR BRITE | 3.3% | 30.29 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | SMOKEY BEAR | 1.7% | 58.85 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 1.6% | 63.52 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 0.8% | 120.81 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | SUPREME SUPREME | 0.4% | 224.74 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 20
PLACE
2 64.5
13 12
14 15.5
QUINELLA
13,14 50.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,13 113
2,14 155
13,14 24
FORECAST
13,14 65
TIERCE
13,14,2 889
TRIO
2,13,14 411
FIRST 4
2,4,13,14 557
QUARTET
13,14,2,4 6,164
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
12/13 68
12/14 36.5