沙田 · 2021-12-12 · 13:28
第 3場
2021-12-12沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的TEMPEST EXPRESS勝出，贏出1。CHEVALIER PRINCE獲得亞軍；CHAMPION DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門CHAMPION DRAGON跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT 1.47.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 6 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON 後段發力 H/TT C Soumillon · A S Cruz | C Soumillon | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | ROYAL PRIDE 後段發力 B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 53.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPERBELLA 後段發力 V-/B2/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | CHARITY GO 後段發力 SR R Moore · C S Shum | R Moore | C S Shum | 5 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 V- K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 B-/V2 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 46.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING TURBO B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 121.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | WORLD FAMOUS XB V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 14 | 8.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | NORDIC SKY 後段發力 SR/XB K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 1 | 89.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | FUNCTION PATCH B/H/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 12 | 34.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR 早段領放 B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.9 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 16.4% | 6.08 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 13.8% | 7.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPERBELLA | 13.6% | 7.36 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | ENTRUSTED | 12.4% | 8.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 9.5% | 10.52 | 14 |
| 6 | 13 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 5.6% | 17.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | CHARITY GO | 5.6% | 17.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.5% | 18.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 4.3% | 23.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 3.5% | 28.60 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | FUNCTION PATCH | 2.9% | 34.45 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | ROYAL PRIDE | 2.8% | 35.12 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | NORDIC SKY | 2.6% | 38.78 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | FLYING TURBO | 1.4% | 72.02 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 64.5
PLACE
2 25
5 18.5
13 33.5
QUINELLA
2,13 420
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 62
2,13 123
5,13 94
FORECAST
2,13 852
TIERCE
2,13,5 4,111
TRIO
2,5,13 614
FIRST 4
2,5,10,13 7,433
QUARTET
2,13,5,10 158,598
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 219.5
6/13 44.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 20