跑馬地 · 2021-12-15 · 22:53
第 8場
2021-12-15跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的A SMILE LIKE YOURS勝出，贏出SH。JOLLY GOOD HEART獲得亞軍；COLONEL獲得季軍。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS 1.09.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.8 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | COLONEL V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | SH |
| 4 | 4 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 7.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS B A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 12 | 29.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | JAZZ ANGEL K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 9 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SPONTANEOUS B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 35.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 8.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | EVER FORCE B/TT M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 5 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 4 | 50.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PARTY WARRIOR | 18.4% | 5.43 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 17.2% | 5.80 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 16.6% | 6.02 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 12.9% | 7.78 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | EVER FORCE | 8.8% | 11.37 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | JAZZ ANGEL | 5.8% | 17.17 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS | 4.3% | 23.42 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 4.1% | 24.60 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.1% | 24.62 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | COLONEL | 3.7% | 26.78 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | SPONTANEOUS | 2.5% | 40.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 1.6% | 62.35 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 38
PLACE
1 36.5
6 14.5
12 41
QUINELLA
1,6 229
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 82.5
1,12 249
6,12 99
FORECAST
6,1 348
TIERCE
6,1,12 3,709
TRIO
1,6,12 877
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 1,051
QUARTET
6,1,12,4 16,145
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/1,6,12 1,023,685
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 153
8/6 228
SIX UP
1,12/5,8/1,8/8,10/8,11/1,6 115,350
12/8/1/10/8/6 6,972,141
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
10/8/1 1,074
10/8/6 2,133