跑馬地 · 2022-01-05 · 22:17
第 8場
2022-01-05跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的THE RUNNER勝出，贏出1。SPECIAL M獲得亞軍；EXCELLENT CHARIOT獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門YOU'REMYEVERYTHING跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE RUNNER V 1.09.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SPECIAL M B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT B/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO H1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 69.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT1 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 1 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 51.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | JOLLY GOOD HEART C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 61.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | KILLER INSTINCT TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 15.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 25.0% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | THE RUNNER | 14.2% | 7.06 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.6% | 7.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 10.3% | 9.72 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | SPECIAL M | 9.3% | 10.76 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 8.7% | 11.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.5% | 18.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.8% | 20.71 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 4.5% | 22.34 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 2.1% | 48.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | KILLER INSTINCT | 1.6% | 62.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 1.3% | 75.22 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 46
PLACE
3 17
6 23
8 23.5
QUINELLA
3,8 185
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 73
3,8 65
6,8 91.5
FORECAST
3,8 330
TIERCE
3,8,6 2,164
TRIO
3,6,8 505
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 674
QUARTET
3,8,6,1 13,367
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
2,3/3 97.5
2,3/8 74