Happy Valley · 2022-01-05 · 22:17
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE RUNNER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1, with SPECIAL M second and EXCELLENT CHARIOT third. The 2.9 favourite YOU'REMYEVERYTHING finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE RUNNER V 1.09.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SPECIAL M B/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT B/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS CP A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO H1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 69.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT1 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 1 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 51.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | JOLLY GOOD HEART C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 61.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | KILLER INSTINCT TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 39.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 4 | 15.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 25.0% | 3.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | THE RUNNER | 14.2% | 7.06 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | FAMILY FOLKS | 12.6% | 7.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 10.3% | 9.72 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | SPECIAL M | 9.3% | 10.76 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 8.7% | 11.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 5.5% | 18.10 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | HARMONY N HOME | 4.8% | 20.71 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 4.5% | 22.34 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 2.1% | 48.26 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | KILLER INSTINCT | 1.6% | 62.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 1.3% | 75.22 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 46
PLACE
3 17
6 23
8 23.5
QUINELLA
3,8 185
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 73
3,8 65
6,8 91.5
FORECAST
3,8 330
TIERCE
3,8,6 2,164
TRIO
3,6,8 505
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 674
QUARTET
3,8,6,1 13,367
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
2,3/3 97.5
2,3/8 74