Happy Valley · 2022-01-05 · 21:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-05 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. KURPANY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with IGNITING second and SETANTA third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KURPANY B/TT 1.09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | IGNITING TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 5 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SETANTA B1 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 7.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SILVER FIG B/TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SHINING GEM B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | KA YING MASTER TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 2 | 57.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | HONG KONG WIN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 8.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HELENE WISDOM STAR H/B1/TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 40.0 | 6 |
| — | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KURPANY | 20.8% | 4.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | IGNITING | 20.1% | 4.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | HONG KONG WIN | 17.7% | 5.64 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 10.9% | 9.16 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | KA YING MASTER | 9.6% | 10.40 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SHINING GEM | 6.5% | 15.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | SETANTA | 5.3% | 18.82 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 4.3% | 23.46 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | SILVER FIG | 3.0% | 33.67 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | GRATEFUL HEART | 1.8% | 56.31 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 33
PLACE
3 14
8 17.5
11 27
QUINELLA
3,8 107.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 40
3,11 59
8,11 70.5
FORECAST
3,8 166
TIERCE
3,8,11 1,000
TRIO
3,8,11 225
FIRST 4
3,5,8,11 242
QUARTET
3,8,11,5 3,952
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,12/8,11>2,3 74,693
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23.5
6TH DOUBLE
3/2,3 58.5
3/8 36.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,6,11/3,8,12/8,11>2,3 5,580,447
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,11/3,8,12/Any Combination 28,793