Happy Valley · 2022-01-05 · 18:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-05 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. A LA KING, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with BULLETPROOF second and KUNGFUMASTER PANDA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite BULLETPROOF finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A LA KING Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 6.8 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 17.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | LAPUTA Closed strongly V1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/H/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 11 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MISTER ARM H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SMILING CITY SR/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.9 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | ASIAN ONE Led early B1/TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 6 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR H-/XB/B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 11.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LAPUTA | 13.8% | 7.23 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | BULLETPROOF | 12.2% | 8.18 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 11.3% | 8.85 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | V CHEVALIERS | 9.7% | 10.29 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 8.5% | 11.75 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | MISTER ARM | 8.4% | 11.97 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | AMAZING NEWS | 7.4% | 13.44 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 7.2% | 13.91 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | A LA KING | 7.0% | 14.39 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | SMILING CITY | 6.7% | 14.98 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEED FAY FAY | 6.4% | 15.67 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | ASIAN ONE | 1.4% | 70.58 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 68
PLACE
1 22.5
8 14
10 45.5
QUINELLA
1,8 150
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 57
1,10 191.5
8,10 117.5
FORECAST
1,8 240
TIERCE
1,8,10 3,341
TRIO
1,8,10 764
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 2,647
QUARTET
1,8,10,11 46,917
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A3 —
A2 —