Happy Valley · 2022-01-05 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B 1.40.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.5 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 4.5 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B-/TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 12 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 7 | 46.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly CP C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 4 | 6.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DR WINNING TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 3.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FREE FOAL CP1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 44.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT V C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 122.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ILLUSTRIOUS B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 210.0 | 27-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-05 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VILLA FIONN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with VIVA POPCORN second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite DR WINNING finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DR WINNING | 27.7% | 3.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 15.4% | 6.49 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 12.6% | 7.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 9.9% | 10.15 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 9.0% | 11.07 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 7.4% | 13.60 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 5.3% | 18.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 4.3% | 23.34 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 4.1% | 24.24 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 2.4% | 41.39 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 1.4% | 73.70 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | ILLUSTRIOUS | 0.6% | 170.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 45.5
PLACE
5 16.5
6 59
11 20
QUINELLA
5,11 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 165
5,11 51
6,11 186
FORECAST
5,11 264
TIERCE
5,11,6 3,314
TRIO
5,6,11 898
FIRST 4
5,6,9,11 2,916
QUARTET
5,11,6,9 46,487
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,8/5,6,11 16,862
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/5 100.5
6/11 12.5