Happy Valley · 2022-01-05 · 22:52
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-05 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CINQUANTE CINQ, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with TIANCHI MONSTER second and SAVVY KINGMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite CHAMPION DRAGON finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly B/TT- 1.49.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 31.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 8 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 7 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FAST PACE H L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 1 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | THE ANOMALY Led early M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VINCY Closed strongly SR-/B2/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 6 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 12 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | WORLD FAMOUS XB-/V1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 9 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | FLYING TURBO B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.8 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | WEALTHY DELIGHT B1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 12.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 25.7% | 3.89 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 16.2% | 6.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 11.8% | 8.44 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | THE ANOMALY | 8.9% | 11.17 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | VINCY | 7.6% | 13.19 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 6.6% | 15.26 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | FAST PACE | 6.5% | 15.36 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 5.3% | 18.95 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | WORLD FAMOUS | 4.2% | 23.99 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 3.6% | 27.44 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | FLYING TURBO | 2.2% | 46.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 1.4% | 70.99 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 318
PLACE
1 37.5
3 16
9 80.5
QUINELLA
1,9 1,525.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 72
1,9 490.5
3,9 274.5
FORECAST
9,1 4,504
TIERCE
9,1,3 20,945
TRIO
1,3,9 2,219
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 4,567
QUARTET
9,1,3,8 136,902
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 19
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/1,3,9 165,997
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 93.5
3/9 1,208.5
SIX UP
6/5/3/2,3/3/9 139,480
6,8/5,11/3,8/2,3,8/3,8/1,9 1,773
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2,3/3/1 108
2,3/3/9 5,967