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Happy Valley · 2022-01-05 · 22:52

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.49.23
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CINQUANTE CINQ Closed strongly B/TT- 1.49.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 2 31.0 3/4
2 0 TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly J Moreira · W Y So 8 13.0 3/4
3 0 SAVVY KINGMAN Closed strongly B Shinn · F C Lor 7 5.8 1-1/2
4 0 FAST PACE H L Ferraris · C Fownes 1 11.0 2-3/4
5 0 THE ANOMALY Led early M L Yeung · K H Ting 11 14.0 2-3/4
6 0 VINCY Closed strongly SR-/B2/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 6 19.0 3-1/4
7 0 ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 12 5.3 3-1/4
8 0 WORLD FAMOUS XB-/V1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 10 14.0 4-1/2
9 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B M F Poon · A T Millard 9 9.5 4-1/2
10 0 FLYING TURBO B H Bentley · D J Whyte 4 41.0 4-1/2
11 0 CHAMPION DRAGON H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 3 3.8 7
12 0 WEALTHY DELIGHT B1 A Badel · J Size 5 12.0 12-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-01-05 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CINQUANTE CINQ, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with TIANCHI MONSTER second and SAVVY KINGMAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite CHAMPION DRAGON finished 11th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CINQUANTE CINQ—2. TIANCHI MONSTER+0.75L3. SAVVY KINGMAN+1.5L4. FAST PACE+2.75L5. THE ANOMALY+2.75L6. VINCY+3.25L7. ROMANTIC COMBO+3.25L8. WORLD FAMOUS+4.5L9. GIFT OF LIFELINE+4.5L10. FLYING TURBO+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick CHAMPION DRAGON (25.7%) finished 11th — the winner CINQUANTE CINQ was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHAMPION DRAGON 25.7% 3.89 11
2 0 SAVVY KINGMAN 16.2% 6.18 3
3 0 TIANCHI MONSTER 11.8% 8.44 2
4 0 THE ANOMALY 8.9% 11.17 5
5 0 VINCY 7.6% 13.19 6
6 0 WEALTHY DELIGHT 6.6% 15.26 12
7 0 FAST PACE 6.5% 15.36 4
8 0 ROMANTIC COMBO 5.3% 18.95 7
9 0 WORLD FAMOUS 4.2% 23.99 8
10 0 GIFT OF LIFELINE 3.6% 27.44 9
11 0 FLYING TURBO 2.2% 46.29 10
12 0 CINQUANTE CINQ 1.4% 70.99 1
CHAMPION DRAGONSAVVY KINGMANTIANCHI MONSTERTHE ANOMALYVINCYWEALTHY DELIGHTFAST PACEROMANTIC COMBOWORLD FAMOUSGIFT OF LIFELINEFLYING TURBOCINQUANTE CINQ — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 318

PLACE

1 37.5

3 16

9 80.5

QUINELLA

1,9 1,525.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 72

1,9 490.5

3,9 274.5

FORECAST

9,1 4,504

TIERCE

9,1,3 20,945

TRIO

1,3,9 2,219

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 4,567

QUARTET

9,1,3,8 136,902

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 19

A2 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,8/1,3,9 165,997

8TH DOUBLE

3/1 93.5

3/9 1,208.5

SIX UP

6/5/3/2,3/3/9 139,480

6,8/5,11/3,8/2,3,8/3,8/1,9 1,773

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

2,3/3/1 108

2,3/3/9 5,967