跑馬地 · 2022-01-19 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-01-19跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Shinn策騎、R Gibson訓練的LOVING A BOOM勝出，贏出N。EASON獲得亞軍；LET'S DO IT獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門TORONADO PHANTOM跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LOVING A BOOM TT 1.09.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 4 | 9.1 | N |
| 2 | 11 | EASON TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 8.5 | N |
| 3 | 10 | LET'S DO IT A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 2.8 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SIMPLY FLUKE B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | TRANSCENDENT CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 47.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ALL IN MIND CP/H/XB/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 2 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 61.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 12 | 54.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 25.5% | 3.92 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | MAJESTIC STAR | 20.3% | 4.92 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | EASON | 13.2% | 7.55 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | LET'S DO IT | 5.9% | 16.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | SIMPLY FLUKE | 5.7% | 17.68 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | ALL IN MIND | 5.2% | 19.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | TRANSCENDENT | 5.1% | 19.76 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 4.8% | 21.03 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | LOVING A BOOM | 4.3% | 23.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE | 4.2% | 23.80 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 3.6% | 27.78 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 2.2% | 45.31 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 91
PLACE
2 21.5
10 37.5
11 27
QUINELLA
2,11 352.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 161.5
2,11 112
10,11 169.5
FORECAST
2,11 892
TIERCE
2,11,10 7,313
TRIO
2,10,11 1,318
FIRST 4
2,7,10,11 835
QUARTET
2,11,10,7 33,070
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 35.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/2,10,11 244,653
8TH DOUBLE
6/2 623.5
6/11 169
SIX UP
2,7/2,11/4,6/1,2/6,7/2,11 8,969
2/11/6/1/6/2 99,612
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/6/2 1,503
1/6/11 472