跑馬地 · 2022-01-19 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-01-19跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、C S Shum訓練的WINNING METHOD勝出，贏出1。THE RUNNER獲得亞軍；SEIZING THE MOMENT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WINNING METHOD TT 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 2 | 3.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | THE RUNNER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SEIZING THE MOMENT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE H/TT1 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MERCURIAL H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FARSHAD C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT B/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | GINSON B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 73.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GRACYLOVE H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 10 | 62.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO H/CP1 A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 26.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 29.5% | 3.39 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | WINNING METHOD | 15.3% | 6.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | THE RUNNER | 10.5% | 9.55 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | EXCELLENT CHARIOT | 9.8% | 10.17 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | MERCURIAL | 8.6% | 11.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | BRILLIANT FORTUNE | 8.6% | 11.63 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | FARSHAD | 5.5% | 18.18 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | GRACYLOVE | 4.5% | 22.13 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 3.5% | 28.86 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | GINSON | 2.2% | 44.84 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 1.9% | 51.97 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 33.5
PLACE
1 14
2 33.5
11 14
QUINELLA
1,2 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 61.5
1,11 25.5
2,11 75
FORECAST
1,2 271
TIERCE
1,2,11 820
TRIO
1,2,11 152
FIRST 4
1,2,5,11 354
QUARTET
1,2,11,5 6,367
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/1,2,11 8,441
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/1 106
6/2 76.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,10,11/1,4,6/1,2,11 443,275
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,10,11/1,4,6/Any Combination 3,834