跑馬地 · 2022-01-19 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-01-19跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的SHADOW RUNNER勝出，贏出N。LUCKY ARCHANGEL獲得亞軍；LORIZ獲得季軍。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SHADOW RUNNER TT 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 3.6 | N |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 4.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | LORIZ A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS V M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 21.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MY INTELLIGENT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HERCULES B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | VAMOS Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | SUGAR SUGAR B1/H1/TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | THUNDERSTRIKE B/H J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | FORTUNE CARRIER B/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | BEAUTY AMIGO B/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 4 | 51.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | AHEAD A HEAD B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 7 | 25.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SHOWINA Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 25.4% | 3.93 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 18.0% | 5.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | SHADOW RUNNER | 16.1% | 6.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | HERCULES | 8.3% | 12.08 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 6.1% | 16.50 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 6.0% | 16.56 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | AHEAD A HEAD | 5.0% | 20.00 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | MY INTELLIGENT | 3.9% | 25.89 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | VAMOS | 3.3% | 30.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.0% | 33.00 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | LORIZ | 2.6% | 39.03 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 2.3% | 43.81 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 36.5
PLACE
2 15.5
10 48.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
2,11 69.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 101.5
2,11 30
10,11 109.5
FORECAST
11,2 147
TIERCE
11,2,10 1,649
TRIO
2,10,11 446
FIRST 4
2,10,11,12 1,643
QUARTET
11,2,10,12 20,945
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/2,10,11 33,207
3 PICK 1
A1 19
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 37
2/11 274.5