沙田 · 2022-01-23 · 14:41
第 4場
2022-01-23沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的BEAUTY LIVE勝出，贏出2-1/2。PRIDE OF DRAGON獲得亞軍；CHARGE ON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE 後段發力 TT 1.22.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | PRIDE OF DRAGON 後段發力 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 11 | 80.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | CHARGE ON 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | NORDIC WARRIOR 後段發力 B B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 4 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MILLENNIUM FALCON 後段發力 H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 3.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | VUKAN 後段發力 XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 8.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | DASSIT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 131.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | ROBOT WARRIOR 後段發力 B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 13 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER HORNET TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 180.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | WIN CHARM 早段領放 TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 3 | 145.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 6 | DANDY YEARS B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 10 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY LIVE | 22.4% | 4.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 18.5% | 5.40 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 11.7% | 8.55 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | VUKAN | 10.2% | 9.83 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | DANDY YEARS | 8.3% | 12.06 | 14 |
| 6 | 2 | LIFELINE VISION | 7.1% | 14.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 6.4% | 15.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | CHARGE ON | 5.5% | 18.18 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.56 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | DASSIT | 1.6% | 63.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 1.4% | 69.55 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | WIN CHARM | 1.4% | 72.49 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 1.0% | 96.67 | 2 |
| 14 | 8 | SUPER HORNET | 0.4% | 236.63 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 28
PLACE
3 45.5
5 14
13 145
QUINELLA
5,13 1,382.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 108
3,13 1,606.5
5,13 425
FORECAST
5,13 2,572
TIERCE
5,13,3 27,649
TRIO
3,5,13 5,797
FIRST 4
3,5,10,13 33,089
QUARTET
5,13,3,10 465,371
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/3,5,13 440,637
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 544
5/13 1,408