沙田 · 2022-01-23 · 17:53
第 10場
2022-01-23沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Maia策騎、R Gibson訓練的NAVAS TWO勝出，贏出1-1/2。SEASONS BLISS獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT STELLAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NAVAS TWO 後段發力 CP 1.22.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 7 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SEASONS BLISS 後段發力 B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR 後段發力 TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | HALL OF CHAMP 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 早段領放 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | PRIME MINISTER 後段發力 TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 13 | STAR BRITE 後段發力 CP K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | BEAUTY CHAMP 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | NOTHING NEW H/P/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | CLASSIC POSH L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 123.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | KASI FARASI 後段發力 TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 62.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | PEGASUS HERO H1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 221.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | HEZA BEAUTY B/E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 9 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 20.3% | 4.93 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | SEASONS BLISS | 13.1% | 7.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | PRIME MINISTER | 10.8% | 9.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | NOTHING NEW | 9.8% | 10.16 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 9.1% | 11.01 | 8 |
| 6 | 9 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 6 | NAVAS TWO | 8.4% | 11.93 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | STAR BRITE | 6.3% | 15.85 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | HEZA BEAUTY | 3.7% | 27.24 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | KASI FARASI | 3.4% | 29.18 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | HALL OF CHAMP | 2.9% | 34.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 2 | PEGASUS HERO | 1.4% | 72.34 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | CLASSIC POSH | 1.4% | 73.64 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 1.0% | 95.31 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 33
PLACE
1 21
6 15
10 28.5
QUINELLA
6,10 168.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 35.5
1,10 92
6,10 69.5
FORECAST
6,10 222
TIERCE
6,10,1 886
TRIO
1,6,10 236
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 505
QUARTET
6,10,1,4 7,162
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 22.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,11/1,6,10 50,917
9TH DOUBLE
11/6 118.5
11/10 60
SIX UP
8,9/1,7/1,3/2,4/1,11/6,10 1,542
9/1/3/2/11/6 1,642,033
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/11/6 1,216
2/11/10 543