Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 17:53
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP 1.22.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 7 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 4 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 6 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Led early M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 2 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR BRITE Closed strongly CP K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 5 | 7.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | NOTHING NEW H/P/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 7.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 123.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 62.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | PEGASUS HERO H1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 221.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY B/E B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 9 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NAVAS TWO, ridden by R Maia and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/2, with SEASONS BLISS second and CIRCUIT STELLAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 20.3% | 4.93 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SEASONS BLISS | 13.1% | 7.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 10.8% | 9.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 9.8% | 10.16 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 9.1% | 11.01 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON FORTUNE | 8.5% | 11.80 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | NAVAS TWO | 8.4% | 11.93 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR BRITE | 6.3% | 15.85 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY | 3.7% | 27.24 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 3.4% | 29.18 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HALL OF CHAMP | 2.9% | 34.52 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | PEGASUS HERO | 1.4% | 72.34 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 1.4% | 73.64 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 1.0% | 95.31 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 33
PLACE
1 21
6 15
10 28.5
QUINELLA
6,10 168.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 35.5
1,10 92
6,10 69.5
FORECAST
6,10 222
TIERCE
6,10,1 886
TRIO
1,6,10 236
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 505
QUARTET
6,10,1,4 7,162
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,11/1,6,10 50,917
9TH DOUBLE
11/6 118.5
11/10 60
SIX UP
8,9/1,7/1,3/2,4/1,11/6,10 1,542
9/1/3/2/11/6 1,642,033
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/11/6 1,216
2/11/10 543