Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 16:11

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 7 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WAIKUKU, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with GOLDEN SIXTY second and RUSSIAN EMPEROR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.0 favourite GOLDEN SIXTY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.34.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 WAIKUKU Closed strongly 1.34.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 4 15.0 3/4
2 1 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 1.0 3/4
3 4 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Whyte 3 25.0 1-1/2
4 2 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K C Leung · C S Shum 7 14.0 3
5 5 SKY DARCI Closed strongly V1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 5 27.0 3-1/4
6 6 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 29.0 6-1/4
7 7 KINGS SHIELD CP H Bentley · F C Lor 6 88.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WAIKUKU—2. GOLDEN SIXTY+0.75L3. RUSSIAN EMPEROR+1.5L4. MORE THAN THIS+3L5. SKY DARCI+3.25L6. HEALTHY HAPPY+6.25L7. KINGS SHIELD+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (40.4%) finished 2nd — the winner WAIKUKU was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY 40.4% 2.48 2
2 5 SKY DARCI 17.7% 5.66 5
3 3 WAIKUKU 14.8% 6.77 1
4 6 HEALTHY HAPPY 11.5% 8.68 6
5 4 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 9.5% 10.50 3
6 2 MORE THAN THIS 3.8% 26.12 4
7 7 KINGS SHIELD 2.3% 43.37 7
GOLDEN SIXTYSKY DARCIWAIKUKU — wonHEALTHY HAPPYRUSSIAN EMPERORMORE THAN THISKINGS SHIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 154.5

PLACE

1 10.1

3 16.5

4 24

QUINELLA

1,3 35.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 16

1,4 27.5

3,4 93.5

FORECAST

3,1 396

TIERCE

3,1,4 1,372

TRIO

1,3,4 94

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 71

QUARTET

3,1,4,2 6,482

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,10/1,3,4 13,422

3 PICK 1

A2 75.5

A3 —

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

1/1 12

1/3 1,008

← Race 6 Race 8 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99