Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 16:11

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WAIKUKU Closed strongly 1.34.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 4 15.0 3/4
2 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 1.0 3/4
3 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Whyte 3 25.0 1-1/2
4 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K C Leung · C S Shum 7 14.0 3
5 0 SKY DARCI Closed strongly V1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 5 27.0 3-1/4
6 0 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT A Badel · F C Lor 2 29.0 6-1/4
7 0 KINGS SHIELD CP H Bentley · F C Lor 6 88.0 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. WAIKUKU, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with GOLDEN SIXTY second and RUSSIAN EMPEROR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.0 favourite GOLDEN SIXTY finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WAIKUKU—2. GOLDEN SIXTY+0.75L3. RUSSIAN EMPEROR+1.5L4. MORE THAN THIS+3L5. SKY DARCI+3.25L6. HEALTHY HAPPY+6.25L7. KINGS SHIELD+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (40.4%) finished 2nd — the winner WAIKUKU was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 40.4% 2.48 2
2 0 SKY DARCI 17.7% 5.66 5
3 0 WAIKUKU 14.8% 6.77 1
4 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 11.5% 8.68 6
5 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 9.5% 10.50 3
6 0 MORE THAN THIS 3.8% 26.12 4
7 0 KINGS SHIELD 2.3% 43.37 7
GOLDEN SIXTYSKY DARCIWAIKUKU — wonHEALTHY HAPPYRUSSIAN EMPERORMORE THAN THISKINGS SHIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 154.5

PLACE

1 10.1

3 16.5

4 24

QUINELLA

1,3 35.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 16

1,4 27.5

3,4 93.5

FORECAST

3,1 396

TIERCE

3,1,4 1,372

TRIO

1,3,4 94

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 71

QUARTET

3,1,4,2 6,482

All pools (3 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,10/1,3,4 13,422

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 75.5

6TH DOUBLE

1/1 12

1/3 1,008

← Race 6 Race 8 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data