Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 15:41
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DARCI JOY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with JOYFUL HEART second and RED ELYSEES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite RED ELYSEES finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B 1.48.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.9 | N |
| 2 | 7 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 2 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER ELEGANCE Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | BIG BROOK Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 7.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | AI ONE Closed strongly B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | SMART PATCH B H Bentley · P O'Sullivan | H Bentley | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 13 | LIGHT MY DAY Led early B/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | DECISIVE ACTION CP/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 13 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RED ELYSEES | 21.7% | 4.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 17.1% | 5.85 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | DARCI JOY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | AI ONE | 8.9% | 11.27 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | YES WE CAN | 6.9% | 14.41 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 6.8% | 14.64 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | BIG BROOK | 6.4% | 15.60 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | LIGHT MY DAY | 5.5% | 18.31 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | JOYFUL HEART | 4.4% | 22.72 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | SMART PATCH | 2.4% | 41.13 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY | 2.2% | 44.71 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 2.2% | 44.92 | 4 |
| 13 | 2 | DECISIVE ACTION | 1.7% | 58.99 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 49.5
PLACE
1 18
7 54.5
10 18.5
QUINELLA
1,7 520
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 170
1,10 44.5
7,10 159
FORECAST
1,7 1,164
TIERCE
1,7,10 4,642
TRIO
1,7,10 664
FIRST 4
1,7,9,10 2,158
QUARTET
1,7,10,9 42,503
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/1 438.5
9/7 310.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,13/7,8,9/1,7,10 5,409,367
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,13/7,8,9/Any Combination 54,883