Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 13:38
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2-1/2, with SETANTA second and ROMAN TURBO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT 1.21.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SETANTA Closed strongly B K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly SR R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 5 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | E STAR TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE Led early B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 6.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 1 | 4.8 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 48.9% | 2.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | SETANTA | 15.0% | 6.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 13.7% | 7.29 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 6.9% | 14.40 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | E STAR | 5.8% | 17.24 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | HINCHINLOVE | 4.8% | 20.88 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | CIRCUIT THREE | 3.2% | 30.88 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | ROMAN TURBO | 1.5% | 64.70 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 31.5
PLACE
6 67.5
8 15
9 16.5
QUINELLA
8,9 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 143
6,9 245.5
8,9 31
FORECAST
8,9 145
TIERCE
8,9,6 1,891
TRIO
6,8,9 649
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 1,045
QUARTET
8,9,6,4 10,982
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/8 473.5
10/9 129.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —