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Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 13:38

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1400m Course A 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT 1.21.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz 6 3.1 2-1/2
3 0 ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly SR R Maia · C S Shum 5 33.0 2-1/2
4 0 CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung 4 10.0 3-1/4
5 0 E STAR TT M Chadwick · K L Man 3 13.0 3-1/2
6 0 HINCHINLOVE Led early B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 8 6.4 3-3/4
7 0 TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT A Hamelin · J Size 7 8.0 3-3/4
8 0 HIGHLAND FORTUNE A Badel · K W Lui 1 4.8 9-1/4
— 0 SILVER EXPRESS V Borges · J Size — — —
— 0 SETANTA Closed strongly B K Teetan · K W Lui — 4.9 2-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. THE GOLDEN SCENERY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by 2-1/2, with ROMAN TURBO second and CIRCUIT THREE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THE GOLDEN SCENERY—3. ROMAN TURBO+2.5L4. CIRCUIT THREE+3.25L5. E STAR+3.5L6. HINCHINLOVE+3.75L7. TEMPEST EXPRESS+3.75L8. HIGHLAND FORTUNE+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick THE GOLDEN SCENERY (48.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 48.9% 2.04 1
2 0 SETANTA 15.0% 6.65 —
3 0 HIGHLAND FORTUNE 13.7% 7.29 8
4 0 TEMPEST EXPRESS 6.9% 14.40 7
5 0 E STAR 5.8% 17.24 5
6 0 HINCHINLOVE 4.8% 20.88 6
7 0 CIRCUIT THREE 3.2% 30.88 4
8 0 ROMAN TURBO 1.5% 64.70 3
THE GOLDEN SCENERY — wonSETANTAHIGHLAND FORTUNETEMPEST EXPRESSE STARHINCHINLOVECIRCUIT THREEROMAN TURBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 31.5

PLACE

6 67.5

8 15

9 16.5

QUINELLA

8,9 72.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 143

6,9 245.5

8,9 31

FORECAST

8,9 145

TIERCE

8,9,6 1,891

TRIO

6,8,9 649

FIRST 4

4,6,8,9 1,045

QUARTET

8,9,6,4 10,982

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/8 473.5

10/9 129.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 19