Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 15:11
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. READY TO WIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with HERE COMES TED second and ROCK YA HEART third. The 3.1 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | HERE COMES TED B/TT M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 7 | 9.4 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ROCK YA HEART CP-/H- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | BIRDSVILLE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL CP1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 4 | 93.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | TURQUOISE HOPE B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 109.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 10 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | THE CROWN TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 3 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE H1/TT1 J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 25.1% | 3.98 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 20.3% | 4.94 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | HERE COMES TED | 13.0% | 7.71 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 11.4% | 8.76 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | ROCK YA HEART | 9.5% | 10.53 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | THE CROWN | 6.9% | 14.41 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | READY TO WIN | 4.7% | 21.26 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.2% | 30.82 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | REGENCY BO BO | 3.2% | 31.71 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | BIRDSVILLE | 2.2% | 44.64 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 0.4% | 235.68 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 100.5
PLACE
7 17
8 26
9 24.5
QUINELLA
8,9 384.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 58
7,9 76
8,9 120.5
FORECAST
9,8 665
TIERCE
9,8,7 3,850
TRIO
7,8,9 623
FIRST 4
7,8,9,11 1,899
QUARTET
9,8,7,11 42,043
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27
4TH DOUBLE
5/8 52.5
5/9 207