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Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 15:11

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT 1.09.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 9 10.0 N
2 0 HERE COMES TED B/TT M Chadwick · D J Hall 7 9.4 N
3 0 ROCK YA HEART CP-/H- C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 4.7 1/2
4 0 BIRDSVILLE M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 27.0 2
5 0 EXCELLENT DADDY TT Z Purton · T P Yung 11 3.7 2-1/4
6 0 REGENCY BO BO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum 5 31.0 2-1/2
7 0 PEGASUS GENERAL CP1 H Bentley · K H Ting 4 93.0 3
8 0 TURQUOISE HOPE B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan 6 109.0 3-1/2
9 0 TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M F Poon · W Y So 10 18.0 3-1/2
10 0 THE CROWN TT1 B Shinn · C Fownes 3 15.0 4-1/2
11 0 JUMBO FORTUNE H1/TT1 J Moreira · A S Cruz 2 3.1 4-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. READY TO WIN, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with HERE COMES TED second and ROCK YA HEART third. The 3.1 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 11th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. READY TO WIN—2. HERE COMES TED+0.05L3. ROCK YA HEART+0.5L4. BIRDSVILLE+2L5. EXCELLENT DADDY+2.25L6. REGENCY BO BO+2.5L7. PEGASUS GENERAL+3L8. TURQUOISE HOPE+3.5L9. TEAM SPIRIT+3.5L10. THE CROWN+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick JUMBO FORTUNE (25.1%) finished 11th — the winner READY TO WIN was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 JUMBO FORTUNE 25.1% 3.98 11
2 0 EXCELLENT DADDY 20.3% 4.94 5
3 0 HERE COMES TED 13.0% 7.71 2
4 0 TEAM SPIRIT 11.4% 8.76 9
5 0 ROCK YA HEART 9.5% 10.53 3
6 0 THE CROWN 6.9% 14.41 10
7 0 READY TO WIN 4.7% 21.26 1
8 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 3.2% 30.82 7
9 0 REGENCY BO BO 3.2% 31.71 6
10 0 BIRDSVILLE 2.2% 44.64 4
11 0 TURQUOISE HOPE 0.4% 235.68 8
JUMBO FORTUNEEXCELLENT DADDYHERE COMES TEDTEAM SPIRITROCK YA HEARTTHE CROWNREADY TO WIN — wonPEGASUS GENERALREGENCY BO BOBIRDSVILLETURQUOISE HOPE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 100.5

PLACE

7 17

8 26

9 24.5

QUINELLA

8,9 384.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 58

7,9 76

8,9 120.5

FORECAST

9,8 665

TIERCE

9,8,7 3,850

TRIO

7,8,9 623

FIRST 4

7,8,9,11 1,899

QUARTET

9,8,7,11 42,043

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 27

A3 —

A1 —

4TH DOUBLE

5/8 52.5

5/9 207