Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 17:18
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. SUPERBELLA, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-3/4, with CHARITY GO second and INTREPID WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPERBELLA Closed strongly B/TT 2.01.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | INTREPID WINNER Closed strongly B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 7 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | NORDIC SKY Closed strongly SR/XB K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | HIT THE SHOT Closed strongly H-/B1/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | VINCY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 9 | 37.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | ENZEMBLE Led early XB/H2/TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 32.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 8 | 6.9 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HELENE ALLIBOR B/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING TURBO B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 73.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | KING TOURBILLON TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 11 | 25.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON H/CP1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SUPERBELLA | 21.1% | 4.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CHARITY GO | 17.7% | 5.64 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 14.7% | 6.80 | 5 |
| 4 | 13 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 8.7% | 11.46 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | WINNING DRAGON | 7.4% | 13.56 | 14 |
| 6 | 5 | ENZEMBLE | 7.0% | 14.25 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | NORDIC SKY | 5.5% | 18.14 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.8% | 20.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | VINCY | 4.6% | 21.59 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | HIT THE SHOT | 2.4% | 41.99 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | NATURAL STORM | 2.0% | 49.19 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | INTREPID WINNER | 1.8% | 56.58 | 3 |
| 13 | 7 | KING TOURBILLON | 1.2% | 85.43 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | FLYING TURBO | 1.0% | 99.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 37.5
PLACE
1 19
9 46.5
11 19
QUINELLA
1,11 143.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 164.5
1,11 59.5
9,11 110
FORECAST
11,1 294
TIERCE
11,1,9 3,342
TRIO
1,9,11 528
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 2,228
QUARTET
11,1,9,10 36,142
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24.5
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 100
2/11 389