Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 13:09
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KOWLOON EAST STAR, ridden by R Maia and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with FLYING HIGH second and TURBO POWER third. The 3.6 favourite CALIFORNIA VANES finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR1/TT1 0.57.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 13 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | FLYING HIGH H/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 9.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | TURBO POWER A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 10 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/XB/H1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | EL JEFE B/XB M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 4.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | CALIFORNIA VANES TT1 Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 14 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ISLAND SHINE BO-/B2 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE SR-/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY FAT CAT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | TSUEN WAN GLORY B1 H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 12 | 76.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FORTUNE MARBO M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 40.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | SPLENDID STAR H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 86.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | ACA POWER TT- H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 76.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 7 | LUCKY GOR J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 48.8% | 2.05 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | EL JEFE | 8.3% | 12.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | TURBO POWER | 6.5% | 15.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 6.4% | 15.64 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | FLYING HIGH | 4.7% | 21.15 | 2 |
| 6 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 4.2% | 23.69 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | ISLAND SHINE | 4.2% | 23.76 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 3.9% | 25.80 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 3.9% | 25.90 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | FORTUNE MARBO | 3.2% | 31.00 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | ACA POWER | 2.6% | 38.90 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 2.2% | 45.23 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | SPLENDID STAR | 1.1% | 88.40 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 105
PLACE
2 17
3 27
10 31
QUINELLA
3,10 453.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 69
2,10 103.5
3,10 129.5
FORECAST
10,3 880
TIERCE
10,3,2 3,651
TRIO
2,3,10 497
FIRST 4
2,3,10,11 684
QUARTET
10,3,2,11 18,877
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 24.5
A2 —