Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 16:44
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PINS PRINCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with LESLIE second and DURHAM STAR third. The 2.4 favourite LESLIE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT 1.09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 7.5 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | LESLIE Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 2.4 | SH |
| 3 | 14 | DURHAM STAR B-/XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 32.0 | SH |
| 4 | 3 | MARVEL DRAGON TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 3 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | AUGUST MOON BO C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING VICTORY H1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 192.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 12 | 86.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | E BROTHER CP/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 10 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 6.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | HANDSOME VEGGIE A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 7 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 14 | 36.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | ENCORE TT1 R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 8 | 100.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 278.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 13 | 8.8 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PINS PRINCE | 34.0% | 2.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | LESLIE | 17.4% | 5.75 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | AUGUST MOON | 13.3% | 7.53 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON | 8.4% | 11.85 | 14 |
| 5 | 9 | BAEBAE TSOI | 6.0% | 16.70 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | MARVEL DRAGON | 5.9% | 17.01 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.85 | 11 |
| 8 | 13 | E BROTHER | 2.7% | 36.61 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | SIXTH GENERATION | 2.5% | 40.16 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZING VICTORY | 2.1% | 48.52 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | ENCORE | 1.6% | 60.61 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 1.6% | 64.43 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | DURHAM STAR | 1.2% | 81.91 | 3 |
| 14 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING | 0.5% | 219.74 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 75
PLACE
2 21.5
4 14
14 63
QUINELLA
2,4 96.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 42.5
2,14 238.5
4,14 127
FORECAST
2,4 279
TIERCE
2,4,14 4,975
TRIO
2,4,14 663
FIRST 4
2,3,4,14 728
QUARTET
2,4,14,3 23,678
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 32
A1 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/2 1,682.5
3/4 133.5