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Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 16:44

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PINS PRINCE H/P/TT 1.09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size 1 7.5 SH
3 0 DURHAM STAR B-/XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 11 32.0 SH
4 0 MARVEL DRAGON TT K Teetan · T P Yung 3 5.0 1
5 0 AUGUST MOON BO C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan 2 14.0 1
6 0 AMAZING VICTORY H1 H T Mo · L Ho 6 192.0 1-1/4
7 0 SIXTH GENERATION B Shinn · C H Yip 12 86.0 1-1/4
8 0 E BROTHER CP/TT A Badel · K L Man 10 39.0 1-3/4
9 0 BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 5 6.7 2-3/4
10 0 HANDSOME VEGGIE A Hamelin · D A Hayes 7 40.0 3-1/2
11 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson 14 36.0 3-1/2
12 0 ENCORE TT1 R Maia · C S Shum 8 100.0 4-3/4
13 0 FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui 4 278.0 6
14 0 CLASSIC MOON K C Leung · W Y So 13 8.8 6-1/2
— 0 LESLIE Z Purton · P F Yiu — 2.4 SH

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PINS PRINCE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by SH, with DURHAM STAR second and MARVEL DRAGON third. The 2.4 favourite LESLIE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PINS PRINCE—3. DURHAM STAR+0.1L4. MARVEL DRAGON+1L5. AUGUST MOON+1L6. AMAZING VICTORY+1.25L7. SIXTH GENERATION+1.25L8. E BROTHER+1.75L9. BAEBAE TSOI+2.75L10. HANDSOME VEGGIE+3.5L11. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick PINS PRINCE (34.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PINS PRINCE 34.0% 2.94 1
2 0 LESLIE 17.4% 5.75 —
3 0 AUGUST MOON 13.3% 7.53 5
4 0 CLASSIC MOON 8.4% 11.85 14
5 0 BAEBAE TSOI 6.0% 16.70 9
6 0 MARVEL DRAGON 5.9% 17.01 4
7 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 2.9% 34.85 11
8 0 E BROTHER 2.7% 36.61 8
9 0 SIXTH GENERATION 2.5% 40.16 7
10 0 AMAZING VICTORY 2.1% 48.52 6
11 0 ENCORE 1.6% 60.61 12
12 0 HANDSOME VEGGIE 1.6% 64.43 10
13 0 DURHAM STAR 1.2% 81.91 3
14 0 FANTASY SPRING 0.5% 219.74 13
PINS PRINCE — wonLESLIEAUGUST MOONCLASSIC MOONBAEBAE TSOIMARVEL DRAGONPRESIDENT'S CHOICEE BROTHERSIXTH GENERATIONAMAZING VICTORYENCOREHANDSOME VEGGIEDURHAM STARFANTASY SPRING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 75

PLACE

2 21.5

4 14

14 63

QUINELLA

2,4 96.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 42.5

2,14 238.5

4,14 127

FORECAST

2,4 279

TIERCE

2,4,14 4,975

TRIO

2,4,14 663

FIRST 4

2,3,4,14 728

QUARTET

2,4,14,3 23,678

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 32

A1 —

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

3/2 1,682.5

3/4 133.5