Sha Tin · 2022-01-23 · 14:41
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT 1.22.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON Closed strongly R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 11 | 80.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARGE ON Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR Closed strongly B B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 4 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 3.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 9 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VUKAN Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 8.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DASSIT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 131.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 13 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HORNET TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 180.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | WIN CHARM Led early TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 3 | 145.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 28.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | DANDY YEARS B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 10 | 9.2 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-01-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LIVE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/2, with PRIDE OF DRAGON second and CHARGE ON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 22.4% | 4.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 18.5% | 5.40 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 11.7% | 8.55 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | VUKAN | 10.2% | 9.83 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | DANDY YEARS | 8.3% | 12.06 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 7.1% | 14.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 6.4% | 15.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARGE ON | 5.5% | 18.18 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.56 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | DASSIT | 1.6% | 63.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 1.4% | 69.55 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | WIN CHARM | 1.4% | 72.49 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 1.0% | 96.67 | 2 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 0.4% | 236.63 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 28
PLACE
3 45.5
5 14
13 145
QUINELLA
5,13 1,382.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 108
3,13 1,606.5
5,13 425
FORECAST
5,13 2,572
TIERCE
5,13,3 27,649
TRIO
3,5,13 5,797
FIRST 4
3,5,10,13 33,089
QUARTET
5,13,3,10 465,371
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/3,5,13 440,637
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 544
5/13 1,408