跑馬地 · 2022-01-26 · 21:46
第 7場
2022-01-26跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CIRCUIT SEVEN勝出，贏出SH。FORTE獲得亞軍；PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門FORTE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT 0.56.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 10 | 34.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | FORTE XB/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.6 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 6 | 13.0 | SH |
| 4 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | STAR OF WUYI B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | GANG OF BROTHERS L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 58.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SCOTCH TYCOON H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 8 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | TRUST ME B/H B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 9 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | AQUILA B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 4 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | CALL ME LU XB-/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 12 | 237.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FORTE | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 18.8% | 5.33 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 15.3% | 6.56 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | MY ECSTATIC | 9.3% | 10.80 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 7.0% | 14.29 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 6.2% | 16.12 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | AQUILA | 5.3% | 18.80 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.9% | 20.40 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | STAR OF WUYI | 4.3% | 23.11 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | TRUST ME | 4.2% | 23.64 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 1.3% | 74.49 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | CALL ME LU | 0.8% | 120.58 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 345.5
PLACE
3 13.5
7 80
8 36
QUINELLA
3,7 496
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 171.5
3,8 57.5
7,8 427.5
FORECAST
7,3 1,365
TIERCE
7,3,8 15,039
TRIO
3,7,8 1,326
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 2,408
QUARTET
7,3,8,2 93,202
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/3,7,8 56,844
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 27.5
10/7 1,407
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,7/3,10,11/3,7,8 2,026,597
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,7/3,10,11/Any Combination 1,723