跑馬地 · 2022-01-26 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-01-26跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的REWARDING TOGETHER勝出，贏出1-1/2。ASTROLOGER獲得亞軍；JOLLY GOOD HEART獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 2.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | ASTROLOGER J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | JOLLY GOOD HEART K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GOLD MARQUIS TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 9 | 8.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | COLONEL H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | MERIDIAN GENIUS A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 10 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA SKY TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 61.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 12 | 73.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 20.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 23.2% | 4.31 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ASTROLOGER | 20.1% | 4.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIA SKY | 10.7% | 9.30 | 8 |
| 4 | 10 | COLONEL | 8.1% | 12.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 6.7% | 14.93 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | JOLLY GOOD HEART | 6.2% | 16.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON | 5.6% | 17.95 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 4.9% | 20.32 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLD MARQUIS | 4.8% | 20.76 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 4.6% | 21.58 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | STOCK LEGEND | 3.4% | 29.73 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | TURIN WARRIOR | 1.7% | 60.56 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 26.5
PLACE
1 18.5
3 31.5
7 13.5
QUINELLA
1,7 70
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 93.5
1,7 30.5
3,7 62
FORECAST
7,1 104
TIERCE
7,1,3 704
TRIO
1,3,7 204
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 398
QUARTET
7,1,3,6 4,696
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/1,3,7 4,320
8TH DOUBLE
2/1 164
2/7 448
SIX UP
4,9/3,7/10,11/3,7/1,2/1,7 1,522
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
7/2/1 4,387
7/2/7 17,262