沙田 · 2022-02-12 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-02-12沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Maia策騎、R Gibson訓練的RIGHT HONOURABLE勝出，贏出HD。EIGHT TRIGRAMS獲得亞軍；SMART LEADER獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MARVEL DRAGON跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 75.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 4.4 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | SMART LEADER B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SIGHT HERO B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MARVEL DRAGON TT K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 6 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | MARADO C L Chau · P O'Sullivan | C L Chau | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | POLARIS WINNER L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 36.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 131.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE B-/TT- D Moor · C W Chang | D Moor | C W Chang | 4 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 12 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | IRON KING TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 9 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WHAT A LEGEND B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SIGHT HERO | 30.0% | 3.33 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | MARVEL DRAGON | 14.3% | 6.97 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | BAEBAE TSOI | 12.8% | 7.83 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 10.3% | 9.75 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | MARADO | 9.8% | 10.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 5.5% | 18.06 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | SMART LEADER | 4.9% | 20.30 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | WHAT A LEGEND | 4.2% | 23.69 | 12 |
| 9 | 10 | IRON KING | 3.8% | 26.34 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | POLARIS WINNER | 2.0% | 49.29 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.7% | 59.61 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING | 0.6% | 160.30 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 757.5
PLACE
1 154.5
3 17
8 25.5
QUINELLA
1,3 2,809
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 613.5
1,8 563
3,8 76
FORECAST
1,3 5,771
TIERCE
1,3,8 39,468
TRIO
1,3,8 1,802
FIRST 4
1,3,6,8 3,131
QUARTET
1,3,8,6 127,155
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 10,603.5
3/3 120
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —