沙田 · 2022-02-12 · 14:31
第 4場
2022-02-12沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的EN POINTE勝出，贏出SH。PLIKCLONE獲得亞軍；GENERAL WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EN POINTE 後段發力 1.22.34 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 2.2 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | PLIKCLONE 後段發力 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 9 | 14.0 | N |
| 4 | 5 | STAR CONTACT 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | DRAGON BABY 後段發力 E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR CP-/B1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | AMIGOS GIGGLE A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | G ONE EXCELLENT 早段領放 TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 12 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR 後段發力 TT D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 14 | 134.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | VUKAN XB H Bentley · P O'Sullivan | H Bentley | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER HORNET SR1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 152.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | UNICORNBABY B/TT C L Chau · R Gibson | C L Chau | R Gibson | 13 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | GREAT TREASURE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | LITTLE BIRD V/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 165.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EN POINTE | 39.6% | 2.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | GENERAL WINNER | 9.7% | 10.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | DRAGON BABY | 7.4% | 13.51 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | VUKAN | 7.1% | 14.11 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | STAR CONTACT | 6.7% | 14.83 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | PLIKCLONE | 6.1% | 16.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.7% | 17.41 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 5.5% | 18.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 4.3% | 23.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | UNICORNBABY | 3.3% | 30.51 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.7% | 60.35 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR | 1.3% | 77.57 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.2% | 82.34 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER HORNET | 0.4% | 254.41 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 22.5
PLACE
1 13
4 42
12 29.5
QUINELLA
1,12 129
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 81
1,12 55.5
4,12 200
FORECAST
1,12 232
TIERCE
1,12,4 2,133
TRIO
1,4,12 551
FIRST 4
1,4,5,12 796
QUARTET
1,12,4,5 11,315
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,10/1,4,12 28,174
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 180.5
4/12 104