沙田 · 2022-02-12 · 16:38
第 8場
2022-02-12沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的APACHE PASS勝出，贏出1-1/4。TRUE LEGEND獲得亞軍；ULTRA EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門TRUE LEGEND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | APACHE PASS 後段發力 BO/XB 1.38.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | TRUE LEGEND 早段領放 B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 B1/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 13 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON 後段發力 H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | ROYAL CAMPBELL CP/H M L Yeung · P F Yiu | M L Yeung | P F Yiu | 3 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | ROYAL PRIDE 後段發力 B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAR SLAM 後段發力 SR D Moor · D J Hall | D Moor | D J Hall | 6 | 19.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ROMANTIC COMBO 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | SIGHT SPIRIT P1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 3.8 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE 後段發力 B C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 12 | 47.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 20.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | SMILING TIME B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 73.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 19.2% | 5.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 16.0% | 6.26 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | ELITE PATCH | 10.3% | 9.75 | 14 |
| 4 | 1 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 9.9% | 10.11 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.84 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | TRUE LEGEND | 7.7% | 12.94 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | KING'S CAPITAL | 5.6% | 17.84 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.8% | 20.65 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | APACHE PASS | 4.6% | 21.93 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | ROYAL PRIDE | 3.4% | 29.12 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 3.3% | 30.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAR SLAM | 2.3% | 43.49 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | SMILING TIME | 2.2% | 45.19 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 1.4% | 69.56 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 118.5
PLACE
2 44.5
8 15
13 34.5
QUINELLA
8,13 202
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 97
2,13 262.5
8,13 80
FORECAST
13,8 725
TIERCE
13,8,2 5,710
TRIO
2,8,13 600
FIRST 4
2,8,9,13 2,792
QUARTET
13,8,2,9 66,942
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 22.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
9/8 1,079.5
9/13 12,894.5