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Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 14:31

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EN POINTE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with PLIKCLONE second and GENERAL WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.22.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 EN POINTE Closed strongly 1.22.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 4 2.2 SH
2 12 PLIKCLONE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 11 11.0 SH
3 4 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly K Teetan · K H Ting 9 14.0 N
4 5 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 10 16.0 1-3/4
5 13 DRAGON BABY Closed strongly E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size 6 7.4 1-3/4
6 2 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR CP-/B1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 6.9 2
7 10 AMIGOS GIGGLE A Hamelin · C W Chang 7 16.0 2
8 14 G ONE EXCELLENT Led early TT R Maia · C H Yip 12 28.0 2-1/4
9 6 CELESTIAL WARRIOR Closed strongly TT D Moor · K W Lui 14 134.0 3-1/4
9 9 VUKAN XB H Bentley · P O'Sullivan 8 10.0 3-1/4
11 7 SUPER HORNET SR1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 152.0 3-1/2
12 3 UNICORNBABY B/TT C L Chau · R Gibson 13 27.0 3-3/4
13 8 GREAT TREASURE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 3 41.0 6-1/2
14 11 LITTLE BIRD V/TT H W Lai · K L Man 5 165.0 13-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EN POINTE2. PLIKCLONE+0.1L3. GENERAL WINNER+0.05L4. STAR CONTACT+1.75L5. DRAGON BABY+1.75L6. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR+2L7. AMIGOS GIGGLE+2L8. G ONE EXCELLENT+2.25L9. CELESTIAL WARRIOR+3.25L9. VUKAN+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick EN POINTE (39.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 EN POINTE 39.6% 2.52 1
2 4 GENERAL WINNER 9.7% 10.29 3
3 13 DRAGON BABY 7.4% 13.51 5
4 9 VUKAN 7.1% 14.11 9
5 5 STAR CONTACT 6.7% 14.83 4
6 12 PLIKCLONE 6.1% 16.53 2
7 2 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 5.7% 17.41 6
8 10 AMIGOS GIGGLE 5.5% 18.02 7
9 14 G ONE EXCELLENT 4.3% 23.48 8
10 3 UNICORNBABY 3.3% 30.51 12
11 8 GREAT TREASURE 1.7% 60.35 13
12 6 CELESTIAL WARRIOR 1.3% 77.57 9
13 11 LITTLE BIRD 1.2% 82.34 14
14 7 SUPER HORNET 0.4% 254.41 11
EN POINTE — wonGENERAL WINNERDRAGON BABYVUKANSTAR CONTACTPLIKCLONEPLEASANT ENDEAVORAMIGOS GIGGLEG ONE EXCELLENTUNICORNBABYGREAT TREASURECELESTIAL WARRIORLITTLE BIRDSUPER HORNET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 22.5

PLACE

1 13

4 42

12 29.5

QUINELLA

1,12 129

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 81

1,12 55.5

4,12 200

FORECAST

1,12 232

TIERCE

1,12,4 2,133

TRIO

1,4,12 551

FIRST 4

1,4,5,12 796

QUARTET

1,12,4,5 11,315

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,10/1,4,12 28,174

3 PICK 1

A2

A1 17.5

A3

3RD DOUBLE

4/1 180.5

4/12 104