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Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 14:31

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EN POINTE Closed strongly 1.22.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 4 2.2 SH
2 0 PLIKCLONE Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall 11 11.0 SH
3 0 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly K Teetan · K H Ting 9 14.0 N
4 0 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes 10 16.0 1-3/4
5 0 DRAGON BABY Closed strongly E/PC/TT V Borges · J Size 6 7.4 1-3/4
6 0 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR CP-/B1 K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 6.9 2
7 0 AMIGOS GIGGLE A Hamelin · C W Chang 7 16.0 2
8 0 G ONE EXCELLENT Led early TT R Maia · C H Yip 12 28.0 2-1/4
9 0 CELESTIAL WARRIOR Closed strongly TT D Moor · K W Lui 14 134.0 3-1/4
9 0 VUKAN XB H Bentley · P O'Sullivan 8 10.0 3-1/4
11 0 SUPER HORNET SR1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 152.0 3-1/2
12 0 UNICORNBABY B/TT C L Chau · R Gibson 13 27.0 3-3/4
13 0 GREAT TREASURE M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 3 41.0 6-1/2
14 0 LITTLE BIRD V/TT H W Lai · K L Man 5 165.0 13-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EN POINTE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with PLIKCLONE second and GENERAL WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EN POINTE—2. PLIKCLONE+0.1L3. GENERAL WINNER+0.05L4. STAR CONTACT+1.75L5. DRAGON BABY+1.75L6. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR+2L7. AMIGOS GIGGLE+2L8. G ONE EXCELLENT+2.25L9. CELESTIAL WARRIOR+3.25L9. VUKAN+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick EN POINTE (39.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EN POINTE 39.6% 2.52 1
2 0 GENERAL WINNER 9.7% 10.29 3
3 0 DRAGON BABY 7.4% 13.51 5
4 0 VUKAN 7.1% 14.11 9
5 0 STAR CONTACT 6.7% 14.83 4
6 0 PLIKCLONE 6.1% 16.53 2
7 0 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 5.7% 17.41 6
8 0 AMIGOS GIGGLE 5.5% 18.02 7
9 0 G ONE EXCELLENT 4.3% 23.48 8
10 0 UNICORNBABY 3.3% 30.51 12
11 0 GREAT TREASURE 1.7% 60.35 13
12 0 CELESTIAL WARRIOR 1.3% 77.57 9
13 0 LITTLE BIRD 1.2% 82.34 14
14 0 SUPER HORNET 0.4% 254.41 11
EN POINTE — wonGENERAL WINNERDRAGON BABYVUKANSTAR CONTACTPLIKCLONEPLEASANT ENDEAVORAMIGOS GIGGLEG ONE EXCELLENTUNICORNBABYGREAT TREASURECELESTIAL WARRIORLITTLE BIRDSUPER HORNET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 22.5

PLACE

1 13

4 42

12 29.5

QUINELLA

1,12 129

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 81

1,12 55.5

4,12 200

FORECAST

1,12 232

TIERCE

1,12,4 2,133

TRIO

1,4,12 551

FIRST 4

1,4,5,12 796

QUARTET

1,12,4,5 11,315

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,10/1,4,12 28,174

3 PICK 1

A1 17.5

A3 —

A2 —

3RD DOUBLE

4/1 180.5

4/12 104