Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT 1.22.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 2.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR Closed strongly SR H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 7 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 10 | 50.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLD MARQUIS Closed strongly TT D Moor · C Fownes | D Moor | C Fownes | 11 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 6 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 4 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 8 | 50.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LIVE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with PERFECT PAIR second and CIRCUIT STELLAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 30.3% | 3.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 10.7% | 9.37 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 9.2% | 10.88 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLD MARQUIS | 8.1% | 12.34 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 7.8% | 12.85 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 6.7% | 15.03 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | HEZA BEAUTY | 6.4% | 15.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 5.5% | 18.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.4% | 18.60 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 3.9% | 25.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR | 3.6% | 27.88 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 2.5% | 39.85 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 21.5
PLACE
1 19
10 22
12 12.5
QUINELLA
10,12 95
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 77.5
1,12 34
10,12 42
FORECAST
12,10 136
TIERCE
12,10,1 492
TRIO
1,10,12 158
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 492
QUARTET
12,10,1,7 4,919
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
13/10 274.5
13/12 511.5