Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TEXAS MOON, ridden by D Moor and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with ROCK YA HEART second and PINS PRINCE third. The 3.2 favourite DOUBLE SIX POP finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TEXAS MOON P1 1.09.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D Moor · T P Yung | D Moor | T P Yung | 5 | 72.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | ROCK YA HEART M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 8 | 5.5 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 11 | 6.6 | N |
| 4 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | N |
| 5 | 12 | COLONEL M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | N |
| 6 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 1 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | JOLLY RULER H H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 58.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | DOUBLE SIX POP K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 9 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | TURQUOISE HOPE B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 56.0 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | LOCKHEED B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 3 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SPEEDY MOUSE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | HERE COMES TED L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PINS PRINCE | 17.4% | 5.75 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 15.7% | 6.38 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | ROCK YA HEART | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | COLONEL | 13.0% | 7.69 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | DOUBLE SIX POP | 9.9% | 10.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 9.9% | 10.13 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | TEAM SPIRIT | 7.6% | 13.21 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | LOCKHEED | 6.9% | 14.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | TEXAS MOON | 3.2% | 31.65 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 1.3% | 78.24 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | JOLLY RULER | 0.8% | 130.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 726.5
PLACE
4 16
8 23.5
9 146.5
QUINELLA
4,9 2,049
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 64.5
4,9 605
8,9 663
FORECAST
9,4 4,037
TIERCE
9,4,8 36,699
TRIO
4,8,9 4,157
FIRST 4
1,4,8,9 8,593
QUARTET
9,4,8,1 334,124
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,11/4,8,9 329,617
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 21.5
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 84
1/9 10,470.5