Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 14:02
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MIRACLE VICTORY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with TRUST ME second and DURHAM STAR third. The 1.7 favourite GOLDEN EMPIRE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | TRUST ME B/H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 4 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | DURHAM STAR XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 6 | 1.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | BELLA BABY XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 49.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FANTASY B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 60.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ENCORE TT D Moor · C S Shum | D Moor | C S Shum | 8 | 162.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | E BROTHER CP/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 10 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | STAR OF WUYI B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 5 | 28.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | ENDOWED P-/H V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 124.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | ALL IS READY R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 9 | 45.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 43.9% | 2.28 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 16.9% | 5.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | TRUST ME | 7.7% | 13.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | STAR OF WUYI | 7.3% | 13.61 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | E BROTHER | 5.0% | 20.00 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | ALL IS READY | 4.4% | 22.79 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | DURHAM STAR | 4.1% | 24.49 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | BELLA BABY | 3.4% | 29.03 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | FANTASY | 3.3% | 30.43 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 1.8% | 55.10 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | ENCORE | 1.2% | 80.37 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | ENDOWED | 0.9% | 114.01 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 48.5
PLACE
4 15.5
7 20.5
10 26.5
QUINELLA
4,7 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 45
4,10 61.5
7,10 83.5
FORECAST
4,7 275
TIERCE
4,7,10 1,635
TRIO
4,7,10 367
FIRST 4
2,4,7,10 110
QUARTET
4,7,10,2 4,961
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/4 5,998
1/7 3,077.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13