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Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 13:01

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.65
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DIVINE ERA Closed strongly TT 1.22.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting 12 11.0 1-1/2
2 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Led early A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 11 28.0 1-1/2
3 0 APEX TOP Closed strongly B L Hewitson · A T Millard 4 25.0 1-3/4
4 0 SPEEDY DRAGON B/TT H Bentley · K L Man 2 5.3 3-1/4
5 0 BOOMING WELL Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 1 4.6 3-1/2
6 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V R Maia · P F Yiu 7 10.0 3-3/4
7 0 ZACIAN Closed strongly CP- M F Poon · C S Shum 8 15.0 4-3/4
8 0 GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly V-/TT D Moor · K W Lui 3 17.0 5
9 0 SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP C L Chau · D A Hayes 9 4.7 5-1/4
10 0 MISSION SMART Closed strongly B/H K C Leung · F C Lor 13 12.0 5-3/4
11 0 MUDITA B-/V1/XB1/TT1 L Ferraris · C Fownes 5 19.0 6
12 0 BIG BANG BONG B- M Chadwick · C W Chang 14 35.0 6-3/4
13 0 INGENIOUS FELLOW Closed strongly PC/TT V Borges · R Gibson 10 52.0 7
14 0 AFTER ME H W Lai · L Ho 6 25.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DIVINE ERA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/2, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and APEX TOP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite BOOMING WELL finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DIVINE ERA—2. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+1.5L3. APEX TOP+1.75L4. SPEEDY DRAGON+3.25L5. BOOMING WELL+3.5L6. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+3.75L7. ZACIAN+4.75L8. GO GO SIXTEEN+5L9. SUNNY BABY+5.25L10. MISSION SMART+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BOOMING WELL (16.3%) finished 5th — the winner DIVINE ERA was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BOOMING WELL 16.3% 6.15 5
2 0 SUNNY BABY 15.1% 6.63 9
3 0 DIVINE ERA 10.2% 9.76 1
4 0 SPEEDY DRAGON 9.6% 10.45 4
5 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 8.2% 12.20 2
6 0 MISSION SMART 7.9% 12.70 10
7 0 ZACIAN 7.0% 14.28 7
8 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 5.3% 18.77 8
9 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 5.0% 20.11 6
10 0 MUDITA 4.1% 24.39 11
11 0 INGENIOUS FELLOW 3.7% 26.89 13
12 0 AFTER ME 3.0% 33.10 14
13 0 APEX TOP 2.7% 36.93 3
14 0 BIG BANG BONG 1.9% 51.76 12
BOOMING WELLSUNNY BABYDIVINE ERA — wonSPEEDY DRAGONSEIZE THE SPIRITMISSION SMARTZACIANGO GO SIXTEENWINWIN THIRTYTHREEMUDITAINGENIOUS FELLOWAFTER MEAPEX TOPBIG BANG BONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 111.5

PLACE

1 74.5

3 38.5

6 86

QUINELLA

3,6 1,693.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 440

1,6 859

3,6 480.5

FORECAST

3,6 2,944

TIERCE

3,6,1 47,706

TRIO

1,3,6 9,030

FIRST 4

1,3,6,12 14,095

QUARTET

3,6,1,12 361,425

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 25.5

A1 —

A3 —