Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 13:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DIVINE ERA, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-1/2, with SEIZE THE SPIRIT second and APEX TOP third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite BOOMING WELL finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DIVINE ERA Closed strongly TT 1.22.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Led early A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 11 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | APEX TOP Closed strongly B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 25.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEEDY DRAGON B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 2 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BOOMING WELL Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ZACIAN Closed strongly CP- M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly V-/TT D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly CP C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 9 | 4.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MISSION SMART Closed strongly B/H K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MUDITA B-/V1/XB1/TT1 L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | BIG BANG BONG B- M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 14 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | INGENIOUS FELLOW Closed strongly PC/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 10 | 52.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | AFTER ME H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 6 | 25.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BOOMING WELL | 16.3% | 6.15 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | SUNNY BABY | 15.1% | 6.63 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | DIVINE ERA | 10.2% | 9.76 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | SPEEDY DRAGON | 9.6% | 10.45 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 8.2% | 12.20 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | MISSION SMART | 7.9% | 12.70 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | ZACIAN | 7.0% | 14.28 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 5.3% | 18.77 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 5.0% | 20.11 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | MUDITA | 4.1% | 24.39 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 3.7% | 26.89 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | AFTER ME | 3.0% | 33.10 | 14 |
| 13 | 1 | APEX TOP | 2.7% | 36.93 | 3 |
| 14 | 14 | BIG BANG BONG | 1.9% | 51.76 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 111.5
PLACE
1 74.5
3 38.5
6 86
QUINELLA
3,6 1,693.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 440
1,6 859
3,6 480.5
FORECAST
3,6 2,944
TIERCE
3,6,1 47,706
TRIO
1,3,6 9,030
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 14,095
QUARTET
3,6,1,12 361,425
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25.5
A1 —