Sha Tin · 2022-02-12 · 17:51
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT 1.33.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TSAR Closed strongly H L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 56.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | NAVAS TWO Closed strongly CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 12 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | E STAR Closed strongly TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 3 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | MY SUGAR CP Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 4.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 8.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 68.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | ROMAN TURBO SR M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 1 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | THE ROCK Led early B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 32.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 8.2 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT D Moor · K W Lui | D Moor | K W Lui | 6 | 25.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-02-12 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA TEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with CIRCUIT THREE second and TSAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite NAVAS TWO finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY SUGAR | 36.3% | 2.75 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | NAVAS TWO | 20.7% | 4.83 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 8.7% | 11.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 6.3% | 15.79 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 6.3% | 15.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.1% | 19.80 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ROMAN TURBO | 3.7% | 27.24 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | THE ROCK | 3.5% | 28.59 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 3.2% | 31.26 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | E STAR | 2.8% | 35.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SUNSHINE WARRIOR | 2.3% | 44.01 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | TSAR | 1.2% | 83.40 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 83
PLACE
3 45.5
4 118.5
5 22
QUINELLA
3,5 614
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 1,088.5
3,5 156.5
4,5 596.5
FORECAST
5,3 960
TIERCE
5,3,4 32,115
TRIO
3,4,5 7,954
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 3,866
QUARTET
5,3,4,9 133,941
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,10,12/3,4,5 343,863
9TH DOUBLE
12/3 84.5
12/5 196.5
SIX UP
4,13/1,10/4,9/8,13/10,12/3,5 280,509
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
13/12/3 1,205
13/12/5 3,626