跑馬地 · 2022-02-16 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-02-16跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、C Fownes訓練的KILLER INSTINCT勝出，贏出3/4。CIRCUIT BOOMING獲得亞軍；TRIPLE TRIPLE獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門HERO STAR跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KILLER INSTINCT TT 1.10.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 6 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | CIRCUIT BOOMING TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | HERO STAR TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 7.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | ETERNAL BLOOM M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE XB-/CP/SR2 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY PROFIT B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 84.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | BIRDSVILLE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT D Moor · K H Ting | D Moor | K H Ting | 11 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | PHENOMENAL COMBO V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 5 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BIRDSVILLE | 22.4% | 4.47 | 10 |
| 2 | 10 | HERO STAR | 16.6% | 6.01 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | CIRCUIT BOOMING | 13.8% | 7.27 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 9.3% | 10.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 9.2% | 10.83 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY PROFIT | 8.7% | 11.56 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | PHENOMENAL COMBO | 5.6% | 17.83 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE | 5.4% | 18.45 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 3.6% | 27.99 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | ETERNAL BLOOM | 3.5% | 28.20 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | KILLER INSTINCT | 1.4% | 73.11 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR | 0.5% | 201.81 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 227.5
PLACE
2 58
3 25.5
4 32
QUINELLA
2,3 874.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 250
2,4 288.5
3,4 131.5
FORECAST
2,3 3,474
TIERCE
2,3,4 21,996
TRIO
2,3,4 2,236
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 1,969
QUARTET
2,3,4,10 79,749
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,9/2,3,4 235,710
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 966
1/3 40.5