跑馬地 · 2022-02-16 · 19:46
第 3場
2022-02-16跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的SO AWESOME勝出，贏出1/2。LUCKY QUALITY獲得亞軍；HEAVENLY THOUGHT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SO AWESOME B/TT 1.09.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | LUCKY QUALITY V1 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT V-/B2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 7 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPONTANEOUS B/TT- K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | AQUILA B/XB V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 2 | 6.8 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | CASA LEGEND CP1/TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SHINY TWO V/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 10 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 6 | 8.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GRACYLOVE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 9.9 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | VICTORY MORE B/H/TT1 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 11 | 86.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SO AWESOME | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 13.7% | 7.31 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | LUCKY QUALITY | 12.2% | 8.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | GRACYLOVE | 11.2% | 8.90 | 11 |
| 5 | 11 | AQUILA | 10.4% | 9.66 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | SPONTANEOUS | 7.5% | 13.38 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | CASA LEGEND | 6.7% | 14.91 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | NATURAL GOLD | 5.9% | 17.03 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 5.8% | 17.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | SHINY TWO | 2.4% | 42.26 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 1.7% | 59.85 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | VICTORY MORE | 1.1% | 91.94 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 35
PLACE
5 19
6 80.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
5,7 121.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 290.5
5,7 46
6,7 226
FORECAST
7,5 268
TIERCE
7,5,6 4,965
TRIO
5,6,7 1,341
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 1,318
QUARTET
7,5,6,2 31,123
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/5 48.5
3/7 203
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 18