跑馬地 · 2022-03-02 · 22:17
第 8場
2022-03-02跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、C Fownes訓練的NICCONI COUNTY勝出，贏出SH。NOTHING NEW獲得亞軍；ATULLIBIGEAL獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門NOTHING NEW跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NICCONI COUNTY TT1 1.10.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 4.8 | SH |
| 2 | 10 | NOTHING NEW H/P/XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL H/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | HD |
| 4 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 9 | 58.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 2 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 7 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS B C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | FORTE XB/TT D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 10 | 21.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | A SMILE LIKE YOURS | 15.4% | 6.48 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | NOTHING NEW | 15.1% | 6.63 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | FORTE | 14.9% | 6.71 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | NAMJONG SINGS | 11.3% | 8.82 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.8% | 12.89 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | SMART IDEA | 7.1% | 14.14 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 5.9% | 17.04 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 5.7% | 17.61 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | NICCONI COUNTY | 5.4% | 18.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER DOBBIN | 5.0% | 19.86 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 4.3% | 23.28 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | WOOD ON FIRE | 2.1% | 47.04 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 48
PLACE
3 42.5
8 18.5
10 16
QUINELLA
8,10 99.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 143.5
3,10 88.5
8,10 42.5
FORECAST
8,10 160
TIERCE
8,10,3 2,307
TRIO
3,8,10 508
FIRST 4
3,8,9,10 3,679
QUARTET
8,10,3,9 48,313
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 24.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
12/8 162
12/10 19.5