沙田 · 2022-03-06 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-03-06沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、K L Man訓練的FLYING SEASON勝出，贏出1-3/4。CHEVAL VALIANT獲得亞軍；LUCKY GOR獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門SUNSHINE LEGENDARY跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING SEASON B1/TT 0.56.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 14 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | LUCKY GOR H1/P1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 1 | 31.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 4.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | FLYING HIGH H-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | TYCOON'S CHOICE L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 11 | 38.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ENCHANTING IBIS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 13 | 26.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 90.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 2 | 35.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | DASHING GENIUS B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 7 | 89.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | LE PLUS VITE D Moor · D A Hayes | D Moor | D A Hayes | 8 | 10.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY GOR | 26.4% | 3.79 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 20.1% | 4.98 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING SEASON | 10.3% | 9.71 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 9.0% | 11.11 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 7.4% | 13.52 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 6.6% | 15.08 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING HIGH | 4.5% | 22.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 3.3% | 29.95 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 3.3% | 30.63 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | MULTIMORE | 2.9% | 34.18 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | LE PLUS VITE | 2.2% | 46.07 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | TYCOON'S CHOICE | 2.0% | 49.93 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | EUROMISSILE | 1.4% | 69.54 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | DASHING GENIUS | 0.5% | 183.59 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 69.5
PLACE
4 22.5
8 20.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
4,11 178.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 76
4,11 64.5
8,11 57
FORECAST
4,11 325
TIERCE
4,11,8 1,797
TRIO
4,8,11 310
FIRST 4
4,8,11,14 2,028
QUARTET
4,11,8,14 42,550
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 23.5
5TH DOUBLE
7/4 440.5
7/11 97
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,9/5,7,9/4,8,11 19,273,805
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,9/5,7,9/Any Combination 89,552