沙田 · 2022-03-06 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-03-06沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的GALAXY WITNESS勝出，贏出3/4。SUPER DYNAMITE獲得亞軍；EN POINTE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS 後段發力 1.21.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER DYNAMITE 後段發力 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | EN POINTE 後段發力 CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | COLONEL V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 78.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 94.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR 後段發力 TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | CHARITY GRACE 後段發力 B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LET'S DO IT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 3 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GOD OF DRAGON 後段發力 B/XB D Moor · D J Whyte | D Moor | D J Whyte | 6 | 105.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | SEATTLE CHOICE R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 7 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | KASI FARASI TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 168.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 128.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | SHADOW MISSION H B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 2 | 137.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 13 | 59.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | EN POINTE | 36.6% | 2.73 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS | 30.5% | 3.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | CHARITY GRACE | 9.1% | 10.96 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 5.7% | 17.43 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 4.2% | 23.76 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 4.0% | 25.02 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | HEZA BEAUTY | 1.9% | 53.50 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | MASSIVE ACTION | 1.6% | 63.73 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | GOD OF DRAGON | 1.6% | 63.87 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | LET'S DO IT | 1.4% | 71.06 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.0% | 96.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | COLONEL | 1.0% | 104.15 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | KASI FARASI | 0.8% | 117.86 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | SHADOW MISSION | 0.5% | 186.61 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 24
PLACE
6 28.5
7 12
8 15.5
QUINELLA
6,7 139.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 51.5
6,8 61
7,8 23
FORECAST
7,6 217
TIERCE
7,6,8 809
TRIO
6,7,8 145
FIRST 4
6,7,8,12 1,640
QUARTET
7,6,8,12 18,722
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/6,7,8 2,617
9TH DOUBLE
3/6 30
3/7 37
SIX UP
5,7/4,11/5,10/6,9/2,3/6,7 658
7/4/10/9/3/7 22,521
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
9/3/6 285
9/3/7 248