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Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.75
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly 1.21.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 9 2.4 3/4
2 0 SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu 1 10.0 3/4
3 0 EN POINTE Closed strongly CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor 4 3.7 1-1/2
4 0 COLONEL V Borges · P F Yiu 12 78.0 2-1/4
5 0 MASSIVE ACTION Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor 14 94.0 2-1/4
6 0 CIRCUIT STELLAR Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 11 15.0 2-1/4
7 0 CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C S Shum 5 5.3 2-3/4
8 0 LET'S DO IT L Hewitson · D J Hall 3 15.0 3-1/4
9 0 GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly B/XB D Moor · D J Whyte 6 105.0 4
10 0 SEATTLE CHOICE R Maia · A T Millard 7 24.0 5-1/2
11 0 KASI FARASI TT C Wong · C H Yip 10 168.0 6-1/4
12 0 FEARLESS FIRE XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 128.0 7-1/2
13 0 SHADOW MISSION H B Shinn · Y S Tsui 2 137.0 10
14 0 HEZA BEAUTY B/E A Hamelin · J Size 13 59.0 10-3/4
— 0 GOOD VIEW CLARICO · C H Yip — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GALAXY WITNESS, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with SUPER DYNAMITE second and EN POINTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALAXY WITNESS—2. SUPER DYNAMITE+0.75L3. EN POINTE+1.5L4. COLONEL+2.25L5. MASSIVE ACTION+2.25L6. CIRCUIT STELLAR+2.25L7. CHARITY GRACE+2.75L8. LET'S DO IT+3.25L9. GOD OF DRAGON+4L10. SEATTLE CHOICE+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick EN POINTE (36.6%) finished 3rd — the winner GALAXY WITNESS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EN POINTE 36.6% 2.73 3
2 0 GALAXY WITNESS 30.5% 3.27 1
3 0 CHARITY GRACE 9.1% 10.96 7
4 0 CIRCUIT STELLAR 5.7% 17.43 6
5 0 SUPER DYNAMITE 4.2% 23.76 2
6 0 SEATTLE CHOICE 4.0% 25.02 10
7 0 HEZA BEAUTY 1.9% 53.50 14
8 0 MASSIVE ACTION 1.6% 63.73 5
9 0 GOD OF DRAGON 1.6% 63.87 9
10 0 LET'S DO IT 1.4% 71.06 8
11 0 FEARLESS FIRE 1.0% 96.45 12
12 0 COLONEL 1.0% 104.15 4
13 0 KASI FARASI 0.8% 117.86 11
14 0 SHADOW MISSION 0.5% 186.61 13
EN POINTEGALAXY WITNESS — wonCHARITY GRACECIRCUIT STELLARSUPER DYNAMITESEATTLE CHOICEHEZA BEAUTYMASSIVE ACTIONGOD OF DRAGONLET'S DO ITFEARLESS FIRECOLONELKASI FARASISHADOW MISSION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 24

PLACE

6 28.5

7 12

8 15.5

QUINELLA

6,7 139.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 51.5

6,8 61

7,8 23

FORECAST

7,6 217

TIERCE

7,6,8 809

TRIO

6,7,8 145

FIRST 4

6,7,8,12 1,640

QUARTET

7,6,8,12 18,722

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 14.5

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,12/6,7,8 2,617

9TH DOUBLE

3/6 30

3/7 37

SIX UP

5,7/4,11/5,10/6,9/2,3/6,7 658

7/4/10/9/3/7 22,521

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

9/3/6 285

9/3/7 248