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Sha Tin · 2022-03-06 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 2 GOOD 1800m Course C 6 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-03-06 was Class 2 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. ENJOYING, ridden by J Moreira and trained by W Y So, won by N, with BUTTERFIELD second and CHARITY GO third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.48.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 ENJOYING Wire to wire B/TT 1.48.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · W Y So 4 2.7 N
2 1 BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum 5 14.0 N
3 3 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR M F Poon · C S Shum 6 8.6 1/2
4 6 BERLIN TANGO H/CP1/TT V Borges · A S Cruz 3 7.5 1
5 5 LOOKING GREAT TT M L Yeung · F C Lor 1 4.3 1-1/4
6 2 CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 3.4 3-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENJOYING2. BUTTERFIELD+0.05L3. CHARITY GO+0.5L4. BERLIN TANGO+1L5. LOOKING GREAT+1.25L6. CALIFORNIA TEN+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick ENJOYING (28.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 ENJOYING 28.7% 3.48 1
2 2 CALIFORNIA TEN 23.8% 4.20 6
3 5 LOOKING GREAT 15.1% 6.62 5
4 3 CHARITY GO 13.8% 7.26 3
5 6 BERLIN TANGO 10.9% 9.20 4
6 1 BUTTERFIELD 7.7% 12.95 2
ENJOYING — wonCALIFORNIA TENLOOKING GREATCHARITY GOBERLIN TANGOBUTTERFIELD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 27.5

PLACE

1 57.5

4 15.5

QUINELLA

1,4 234

FORECAST

4,1 353

TIERCE

4,1,3 1,532

TRIO

1,3,4 390

FIRST 4

1,3,4,6 356

QUARTET

4,1,3,6 6,546

1ST DOUBLE

1/1 40

1/4 125